Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.