Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.