Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 13, 2023 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
1 - 1
Racing

Martinez (40', 40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moralez (72', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rosario 4-1 Instituto
Saturday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Racing Club

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawRacing Club
36.21% (0.024999999999999 0.02)29.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.42% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.82% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)63.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)82.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)33.2% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.023 0.02)69.81% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)34.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.1% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 36.2%
    Racing Club 34.41%
    Draw 29.36%
InstitutoDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.2%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.41%

How you voted: Instituto vs Racing

Instituto
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Racing Club
6.7%
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