Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
4 - 1
Instituto

Veliz (15'), Campaz (58'), Giaccone (65', 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (72' pen.)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Banfield 2-0 Rosario
Monday, May 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, May 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawInstituto
55.59% (-0.986 -0.99)25.52% (0.735 0.73)18.89% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 42.89% (-1.513 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42% (-2.231 -2.23)58.58% (2.233 2.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86% (-1.77 -1.77)79.14% (1.772 1.77)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (-1.282 -1.28)21.15% (1.285 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (-2.032 -2.03)54% (2.036 2.04)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.39% (-1.016 -1.02)45.6% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59% (-0.81 -0.81)81.41% (0.81100000000001 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 55.59%
    Instituto 18.89%
    Draw 25.52%
Rosario CentralDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 14.98% (0.67 0.67)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.301 -0.3)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 55.59%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.787 0.79)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.419 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 18.89%