Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Florencio Solá

Banfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Gimenez (3', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Banfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Banfield
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Defensa
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.

Result
BanfieldDrawRosario Central
45.18% (0.07 0.07)29.13% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)25.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.2% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.31% (0.13 0.13)64.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33% (0.091999999999999 0.09)83.67% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Banfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.101 0.1)28.75% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.126 0.13)64.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83% (0.055 0.05)42.17% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)78.58% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Banfield 45.18%
    Rosario Central 25.68%
    Draw 29.12%
BanfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 25.68%

How you voted: Banfield vs Rosario

Banfield
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Rosario Central
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 15
Rosario
0-1
Banfield

Baez (63'), Tanlongo (68'), Infantino (77'), Servio (85')
Urzi (22')
Romero (30')
Romero (90+5')
Sep 15, 2021 10.45pm
Second Phase
Banfield
1-2
Rosario
Manuel Cruz (9')
Coronel (24'), Galoppo (31'), Enrique (81')
Galoppo (72')
Ruben (38', 88')
Ojeda (18'), Vecchio (34'), Marinelli (86')
Vecchio (62')
Apr 11, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Rosario
3-1
Banfield
Ruben (45+3'), Gamba (51'), Laso (70')
Sangiovani (4'), Laso (39')
Eseiza (9')
Dec 5, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Banfield
1-1
Rosario
Alvarez (22')
Arboleda (28'), Bravo (65'), (75')
Bravo (78')
Vecchio (29' pen.)
Villagra (48'), Rinaudo (73'), Vecchio (81')
Nov 13, 2020 10pm
Group Stage
Rosario
2-4
Banfield
Vecchio (24'), Rinaudo (90+3')
Rinaudo (52')
Fontana (27'), Bordagaray (44'), Galoppo (65'), Cuero (78')
Galoppo (73')