Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 30, 2023 at 12am UK
 
Estudiantes

Instituto
0 - 0
Estudiantes

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Instituto
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tacuary 0-4 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawEstudiantes
30.69% (0.533 0.53)28.84% (0.36 0.36)40.47% (-0.89899999999999 -0.9)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11% (-1.064 -1.06)61.89% (1.061 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34% (-0.792 -0.79)81.65% (0.788 0.79)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.172 -0.17)36.44% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.174 -0.17)73.22% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-1.036 -1.04)29.98% (1.032 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-1.266 -1.27)66.09% (1.261 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 30.68%
    Estudiantes 40.46%
    Draw 28.83%
InstitutoDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.68%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.92% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 13.15% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.93% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 40.46%

rhs 2.0


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