Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 24, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas
1 - 2
Racing

Otero (90+4', 90+4', 90+4')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Reniero (2', 2', 2'), Rojas (69', 69', 69')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Aucas and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aucas

Last Game: Nublense 2-1 Aucas
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Racing Club

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Platense 3-0 Racing
Sunday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Aucas	Draw	Racing Club
29.78% ( -0.2)	26.87% ( 0.07)	43.35% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.81% (

-0.35)

55.19% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57% (

-0.29)

76.42% (

0.29)

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

-0.33)

33.55% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

-0.36)

70.19% (

0.36)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

-0.1)

25.25% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

-0.13)

60% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Aucas 29.78%

Racing Club 43.34%

Draw 26.87%

Aucas	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.34%