Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
63.59% ( -0.4)	22.88% ( 0.2)	13.53% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 39.52% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82% (

-0.31)

57.18% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96% (

-0.25)

78.04% (

0.24)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.25)

17.57% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.87% (

-0.44)

48.12% (

0.44)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95% (

0.14)

52.05% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.96% (

0.09)

86.03% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 63.58%

Defensa y Justicia 13.53%

Draw 22.87%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 63.58%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 13.53%