Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Sep 15, 2022 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Rios (43'), Togni (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Avalos (24')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Defensa
Monday, September 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Rosario
Friday, September 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
34.59% (0.32 0.32)29.03% (0.201 0.2)36.37% (-0.517 -0.52)
Both teams to score 44.75% (-0.54 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04% (-0.667 -0.67)61.96% (0.67 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (-0.496 -0.5)81.71% (0.499 0.5)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.134 -0.13)33.69% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.145 -0.15)70.34% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (-0.672 -0.67)32.51% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (-0.764 -0.76)69.04% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 34.59%
    Argentinos Juniors 36.37%
    Draw 29.02%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 13.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.37%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 12.30am
Argentinos Jrs
0-1
Defensa

Reniero (78')
Galvan (90+2')
Frias (61'), Gutierrez (79')
Oct 9, 2021 5.30pm
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Defensa

Minissale (37')
Tripichio (65'), Bou (82')
Merentiel (74')
Nov 4, 2019 10pm
Defensa
0-0
Argentinos Jrs

Loaiza (29'), Marquez (33'), Delgado (45')

Quintana (13')
Feb 11, 2019 10pm
Defensa
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Marquez (73'), Castro (95')
Barboza (55'), Fernandez (74')
Moyano (59')
Mac Allister (27'), Batallini (88'), Chavez (90')