Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.