Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 2
Lanus

Morales (75' og., 75' og.), Colombo (84', 84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
De la Vega (5', 5'), Orozco (48', 48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Defensa
Thursday, July 6 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
39.27% (-0.113 -0.11)29.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)31.15% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.84% (0.072000000000003 0.07)64.16% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.3% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)31.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)68.28% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.136 0.14)37.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.132 0.13)74.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 39.27%
    Lanus 31.15%
    Draw 29.57%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Defensa vs Lanus

Defensa y Justicia
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lanus
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Malcorra (39')
Varaldo (56'), Belmonte (80')
Loaiza (67')
Loaiza (31')
Pizzini (18')
Dec 12, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Defensa
2-1
Lanus
Rotondi (25'), Bou (84')
Gutierrez (31'), Hachen (45+4'), Frias (65')
Gutierrez (45')
Gonzalez (10')
Gonzalez (43'), Belmonte (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+1')
Feb 20, 2021 8.10pm
First Phase
Lanus
2-1
Defensa
Belmonte (5'), Sand (32' pen.)
Perez (83'), Belmonte (86')
Romero (27')
Jeremias Fernandez (68'), Paredes (70'), Hachen (79'), Martinez (81'), Merentiel (89')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Final
Lanus
0-3
Defensa

Bernabei (49'), Belluschi (70'), Perez (73'), Burdisso (81')
Frias (34'), Romero (62'), Camacho (90+2')
Romero (63'), Jeremias Fernandez (77')
Dec 20, 2020 8.10pm
Fase Complementacion
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Thaller (13')
Perez (30'), Aude (36'), Thaller (89'), Morgantini (90+4')
Merentiel (44')
Breitenbruch (13'), Escalante (27'), Loaiza (78')