Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 37.84%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 30.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.36%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.