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Defensa y Justicia
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 12, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 1
Lanus

Rotondi (25'), Bou (84')
Gutierrez (31'), Hachen (45+4'), Frias (65')
Gutierrez (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (10')
Gonzalez (43'), Belmonte (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
50.43%24.54%25.03%
Both teams to score 53.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.2%48.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1%70.9%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64%19.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85%51.16%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08%33.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41%70.59%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 50.43%
    Lanus 25.03%
    Draw 24.53%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.03%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 8.10pm
First Phase
Lanus
2-1
Defensa
Belmonte (5'), Sand (32' pen.)
Perez (83'), Belmonte (86')
Romero (27')
Jeremias Fernandez (68'), Paredes (70'), Hachen (79'), Martinez (81'), Merentiel (89')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Final
Lanus
0-3
Defensa

Bernabei (49'), Belluschi (70'), Perez (73'), Burdisso (81')
Frias (34'), Romero (62'), Camacho (90+2')
Romero (63'), Jeremias Fernandez (77')
Dec 20, 2020 8.10pm
Fase Complementacion
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Thaller (13')
Perez (30'), Aude (36'), Thaller (89'), Morgantini (90+4')
Merentiel (44')
Breitenbruch (13'), Escalante (27'), Loaiza (78')
Nov 23, 2019 10.40pm
Gameweek 14
Defensa
2-0
Lanus
Delgado (43'), Castro (60')
Cardozo (13')

Belmonte (45'), Quignon (85')
Aug 12, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Lanus
2-2
Defensa
Ribas (7' pen.), Belmonte (12')
Di Placido (85')
Fernandez (80', 83')
Almeida (30'), Miranda (77'), Larrondo (89')
rhs 2.0
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