Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 5, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

FT(HT: 0-2)
Bou (42', 42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Platense 0-1 Lanus
Friday, June 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, July 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
51.94% (0.085000000000001 0.09)27.15% (-0.093 -0.09)20.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.57% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.17% (0.311 0.31)61.83% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.39% (0.23 0.23)81.61% (-0.223 -0.22)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)24.1% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.247 0.25)58.39% (-0.24 -0.24)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.77% (0.199 0.2)45.24% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88% (0.155 0.16)81.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 51.93%
    Velez Sarsfield 20.91%
    Draw 27.14%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Velez Sarsfield
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Lanus
2-2
Velez Sarsfield
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Lanus
Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
First Phase
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
> Preview