Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 30, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Florencio Sola

Defensa
2 - 1
Botafogo

(Defensa y Justicia win 3-2 on aggregate)

Fernandez (15', 72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bologna (45+3' og.)
Costa (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Platense 0-0 Defensa
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Botafogo
48.66% ( 0.41)	27.1% ( -0.28)	24.24% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.93% (

0.85)

59.07% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.48% (

0.65)

79.52% (

-0.64)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

0.58)

24.39% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2% (

0.8)

58.81% (

-0.79)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

0.36)

40.28% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

0.32)

76.91% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 48.66%

Botafogo 24.24%

Draw 27.09%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.66%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.33% Total : 24.24%