Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Botafogo logo

Guarani
0 - 0
Botafogo


Camacho (65'), Gil Romero (67')
FT

Santos (32'), Marcal (45+2'), Freitas (90+5'), Cuesta (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Guarani and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

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Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Guarani
Wednesday, August 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
GuaraniDrawBotafogo
25.52% (0.26 0.26)27.59% (0.722 0.72)46.89% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)
Both teams to score 44.94% (-1.723 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (-2.325 -2.33)59.89% (2.322 2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (-1.81 -1.81)80.16% (1.808 1.81)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42% (-1.07 -1.07)39.58% (1.068 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73% (-1.003 -1)76.27% (1.001 1)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-1.511 -1.51)25.61% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-2.102 -2.1)60.49% (2.099 2.1)
Score Analysis
    Guarani 25.52%
    Botafogo 46.88%
    Draw 27.57%
GuaraniDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.538 0.54)
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.52%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 10.13% (0.848 0.85)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 13.8% (0.6 0.6)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.88%

How you voted: Guarani vs Botafogo

Guarani
23.5%
Draw
5.9%
Botafogo
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
2-1
Guarani
Hugo (65'), Tiquinho (90' pen.)
Eduardo (45+4')
Benitez (3')
Gil Romero (40'), Martinez (83'), Rios (86')
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