Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
4 - 1
Coritiba

Sauer (3', 45+3'), Tiquinho (36', 51')
Eduardo (60')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Gomes (9')
Natanael (19'), Bianqui (35'), Robson (35')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Santos 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 2-0 Fluminense
Monday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.48%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Coritiba
71.27% ( 0.52)	18.91% ( -0.21)	9.82% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 39.43% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

0.02)

50.66% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

0.02)

72.56% (

-0.02)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.16)

12.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

0.32)

39.42% (

-0.32)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.29% (

-0.61)

54.71% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.3% (

-0.37)

87.7% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 71.26%

Coritiba 9.82%

Draw 18.91%

Botafogo	Draw	Coritiba
2-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 14.48% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 71.26%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.4% Total : 18.91%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 9.82%