Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 23, 2023 at 12am UK

Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
0 - 1
Botafogo

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tiquinho (60' pen., 60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Botafogo
40.42% ( 0.27)	28.34% ( -0.59)	31.23% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 46.04% (

1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.92% (

2.06)

60.08% (

-2.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.7% (

1.54)

80.3% (

-1.54)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

1.17)

29.12% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

1.42)

65.04% (

-1.42)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94% (

1.35)

35.05% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2% (

1.39)

71.8% (

-1.39)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 40.42%

Botafogo 31.23%

Draw 28.34%

Cuiaba	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.42%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.82) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.23%