Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.