Copa Libertadores
Jun 7, 2023 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Michael Hoyos 17' goal
  • Michael Hoyos 24' goal
  • Junior Sornoza 69' goal

Independiente del Valle vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 0 Independiente

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 25, 2023 1.30am
Argentinos Jrs 0 - 0 Corinthians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result

Independiente del Valle 55.41% (-0.01)
Draw 24.39% (+0.01)
Corinthians 20.19% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.83% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.95% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.05% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.36% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.63% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.41% (-0.01)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 80.95% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.04% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.37% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.62% (+0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 59.09% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.91% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.52% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.47% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 55.41%
Draw 24.38%
Corinthians 20.19%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 55.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.38%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.19%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Roger Guedes 35' goal
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 22'
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 52'
Copa Sudamericana
Sep 26, 2019 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jhon Sanchez 68' goal
  • Alan Franco 71' yellowcard
  • Efren Mera 75' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Cabeza 91' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Sornoza 18'
  • goal Mauro Boselli 29'
  • goal Clayson 87'
  • yellowcard Clayson 96'
Copa Sudamericana
Sep 19, 2019 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gabriel 31' yellowcard
  • Fagner 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 40'
  • goal Gabriel Torres 44'
  • goal Gabriel Torres 69'
  • yellowcard Anthony Landazuri 71'