Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.