Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Corinthians

Independiente
3 - 0
Corinthians

Hoyos (17', 24'), Sornoza (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

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Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Independiente
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Corinthians
Saturday, June 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawCorinthians
55.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)20.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 47.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)53.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.04% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)50.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 55.41%
    Corinthians 20.19%
    Draw 24.38%
Independiente del ValleDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.19%

How you voted: Independiente vs Corinthians

Independiente del Valle
73.7%
Draw
10.5%
Corinthians
15.8%
19
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Corinthians
1-2
Independiente
Sep 26, 2019 1.30am
Semi-Finals
Independiente
2-2
Corinthians
Sanchez (68'), Cabeza (91')
Franco (71'), Mera (75')
Boselli (29'), Clayson (87' pen.)
Sornoza (18'), Clayson (96')
Sep 19, 2019 1.30am
Semi-Finals
Corinthians
0-2
Independiente

Gabriel (31'), Fagner (41')
Torres (44', 69')
Dajome (40'), Landazuri (71')