Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
America Mineiro

Coritiba
3 - 1
America Mineiro

Manga (40' pen.), Robson (44'), Luis (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Juninho (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last Game: Goias 1-2 Coritiba
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawAmerica Mineiro
39.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)32.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)57.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)78.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.19% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.012 -0.01)63.89% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.96% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 39.59%
    America Mineiro 32.77%
    Draw 27.63%
CoritibaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.77%

How you voted: Coritiba vs America Mineiro

Coritiba
22.9%
Draw
57.1%
America Mineiro
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 25
America Mineiro
2-0
Coritiba
Biel (76')
May 15, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 6
Coritiba
1-0
America Mineiro
Andrey (45+2')
Farias (19')

Maidana (17'), Pablo Ramirez (19'), Patric (20'), Arthur (55'), Rodriguinho (67')
Maidana (39')