/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcorlog.png)
-
Franco Cristaldo
34'
-
Mathias Villasanti
48'
-
Bitello
54'
-
Luis Suarez
66'
-
Andre Henrique
84'
-
Alef Manga
41'
Gremio vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F22%2Ffranco-cristaldo.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result
Gremio
67.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
19.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Coritiba
12.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
43.94%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.11%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
48.88%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
29.02%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
70.98%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
14%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
86%
▼
(-0.04)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
86.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
13.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
59.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
40.28%
▼
(-0.03)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5
50.72%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
49.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
15.85%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
84.15%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Gremio
67.98%
Draw
19.89%
Coritiba
12.12%
Gremio
2-0
@
13.33%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 13.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 67.98%
1-0 @ 13.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 67.98%
Draw
1-1
@
9.38%
0-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.89%
0-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.89%
Coritiba
0-1
@
4.66%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 12.12%
1-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 12.12%
