Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bruno Rodrigues

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 10.30pm
Coritiba 3 - 1 America Mineiro
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Robson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 65.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 13.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 65.01% (-0.11)
Draw 21.33% (+0.06)
Coritiba 13.66% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.95% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.7% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 51.3% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 26.87% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 73.13% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 12.57% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 87.43% (+0.07)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 84.94% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 15.06% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 56.43% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 43.58% (+0.14)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 51.75% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.25% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 16.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 83.42% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 65%
Draw 21.33%
Coritiba 13.66%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.75% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 13.02%
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.33%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 5.3% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 13.66%