Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 65.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 13.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.