Brasileiro
Gameweek
11
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-
Juan Martin Lucero
80'
Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result
Cruzeiro
45.38%
▼
(-11.43)
Draw
26.67%
▲
(+2.15)
Fortaleza
27.95%
▲
(+9.28)
Both Teams to Score:
49.21%
▲
(+4.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.72%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
55.28%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
23.5%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
76.5%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
10.42%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
89.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
75.71%
▼
(-4.90)
Under 0.5
24.28%
▲
(+4.89)
Over 1.5
41.34%
▼
(-7.46)
Under 1.5
58.65%
▲
(+7.45)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
65%
▲
(+8.97)
Under 0.5
35%
▼
(-8.97)
Over 1.5
28.25%
▲
(+8.35)
Under 1.5
71.75%
▼
(-8.36)
Score analysis
Cruzeiro
45.38%
Draw
26.66%
Fortaleza
27.95%
Cruzeiro
1-0
@
12.03%
▼
(-1.96)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.49)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-2.96)
3-1 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.94)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-2.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.63)
4-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-1.16)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.38%
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.49)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-2.96)
3-1 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.94)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-2.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.63)
4-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-1.16)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.38%
Draw
1-1
@
12.62%
▲
(+1.13)
0-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.82)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
0-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.82)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
Fortaleza
0-1
@
8.92%
▲
(+1.92)
1-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+1.91)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+1.81)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+1.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.59)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-77.27)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.95%
1-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+1.91)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+1.81)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+1.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.59)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-77.27)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.95%
