Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Fortaleza

Cruzeiro
0 - 1
Fortaleza

FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin Lucero (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-2 Cruzeiro
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawFortaleza
45.38% (-11.428 -11.43)26.67% (2.144 2.14)27.95% (9.276 9.28)
Both teams to score 49.21% (4.047 4.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.078000000000003 0.08)55.28% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.062999999999999 0.06)76.5% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-4.894 -4.89)24.28% (4.888 4.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-7.453 -7.45)58.65% (7.447 7.45)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (8.961 8.96)35% (-8.967 -8.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (8.345 8.35)71.75% (-8.351 -8.35)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 45.38%
    Fortaleza 27.95%
    Draw 26.66%
CruzeiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.03% (-1.95 -1.95)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-2.957 -2.96)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.936 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-2.254 -2.25)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.621 -0.62)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-1.151 -1.15)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.62% (1.13 1.13)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.818 0.82)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.92% (1.916 1.92)
1-2 @ 6.63% (1.907 1.91)
0-2 @ 4.68% (1.804 1.8)
1-3 @ 2.32% (1.027 1.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.581 0.58)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.85 0.85)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.95%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza

Cruzeiro
37.5%
Draw
56.3%
Fortaleza
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2019 1am
Gameweek 28
Cruzeiro
1-1
Fortaleza
Manuel Orejuela (80')
Jadson (35'), Caca (39'), Robinho (47')
Paulista (83')
Felipe (33')
Jun 13, 2019 1am
Gameweek 9
Fortaleza
2-1
Cruzeiro
Luis (3', 45')
Ribeiro (50')
Ribeiro (64')
Sassa (11')
Leo (21'), Dodo (35'), Cabral (45'), Dede (50'), Robinho (51'), Romero (73')