Copa Sudamericana
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-
Ervin Zorrilla
62'
Estudiantes Merida vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Estudiantes Merida win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Estudiantes Merida
23.68%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
25.04%
▼
(-0.07)
Fortaleza
51.28%
▲
(+0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
50.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
48%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
52%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
26.26%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
73.74%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
12.17%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
87.83%
▼
(-0.08)
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5
63.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
36.85%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
26.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
73.64%
▲
(+0.04)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
79.72%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
20.28%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
47.36%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
52.63%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Estudiantes Merida
23.68%
Draw
25.04%
Fortaleza
51.27%
Estudiantes Merida
1-0
@
7.46%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.68%
2-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.68%
Draw
1-1
@
11.9%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.04%
0-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.04%
Fortaleza
0-1
@
11.92%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.70)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.27%
0-2 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.70)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.27%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
May 5, 2023 1.00am
6
1
HT :
2
2
FT
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
-
Yago Pikachu
29'
-
Jose Welison
43'
-
Thiago Galhardo
72'
-
Calebe
76'
-
Moises
86'
-
Silvio Romero
90'+1'
-
Luis Arenas
45'+5'
-
Luis Arenas
45'+5'