Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2023 at 1am UK
 

Estudiantes
1 - 5
Palestino

Arenas (33', 33')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Carrasco (24' pen., 24' pen., 69', 69'), Barticciotto (26', 26'), Farias (73', 73'), Doldan (82' og., 82' og.)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Estudiantes Merida and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes Merida

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Last Game: Fortaleza 6-1 Estudiantes
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Palestino

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Palestino 0-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes MeridaDrawPalestino
40.86% (0.154 0.15)26.49% (-0.032 -0.03)32.65% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.097000000000001 0.1)52.76% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.082000000000001 0.08)74.39% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.12400000000001 0.12)25.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.171 0.17)60.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)30.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes Merida 40.85%
    Palestino 32.65%
    Draw 26.48%
Estudiantes MeridaDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.85%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.65%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Palestino
1-0
Estudiantes
Davila (53')
Carrasco (33'), Salas (39'), Farias (61')
Farias (90+4')

Flores (29'), Gomez (61'), Paredes (75'), Canelon (87'), Matos (90+1')
Paredes (82')