Copa Sudamericana
-
Luis Arenas
33'
-
Luis Arenas
33'
-
Bryan Carrasco
24'
-
Bryan Carrasco
24'
-
Bruno Barticciotto
26'
-
Bruno Barticciotto
26'
-
Bryan Carrasco
69'
-
Bryan Carrasco
69'
-
Agustin Farias
73'
-
Agustin Farias
73'
-
Jose Doldan
82'
(OG)
-
Jose Doldan
82'
(OG)
Estudiantes Merida vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result
Estudiantes Merida
40.86%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
26.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Palestino
32.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
51.98%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.23%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
52.76%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
25.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
74.39%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
11.74%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
88.25%
▼
(-0.06)
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5
74.56%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
25.44%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
39.73%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
60.26%
▼
(-0.18)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5
69.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
30.28%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
33.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
66.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Estudiantes Merida
40.85%
Draw
26.48%
Palestino
32.65%
Estudiantes Merida
1-0
@
10.54%
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.85%
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.85%
Draw
1-1
@
12.59%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.48%
0-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.48%
Palestino
0-1
@
9.2%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.65%
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.65%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
-
Misael Davila
53'