Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • goal Machado 45'+4'

Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 2, 2023 8.00pm
Botafogo 2 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 2, 2023 1.00am
Internacional 0 - 0 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bruno Rodrigues

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result

Vasco da Gama 44.06% (+0.02)
Draw 26.8% (+0.01)
Cruzeiro 29.14% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.54% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.21% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.56% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 76.44% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 10.46% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.54% (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 75.1% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.9% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.48% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.52% (+0.01)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 65.96% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.04% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.72% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 44.05%
Draw 26.79%
Cruzeiro 29.14%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.78% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.79%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 9.13% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Dec 2, 2019 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Fredy Guarin 10' goal
  • Richard 45' yellowcard
  • Rossi 62' yellowcard
  • Fredy Guarin 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ederson 45'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos Gabriel 94'
  • yellowcard Fred 95'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Sep 1, 2019 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
  • Robinho 27' yellowcard
  • Henrique 56' yellowcard
  • Mauricio 80' goal
  • Marquinhos Gabriel 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danilo 55'
  • yellowcard Richard 58'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 70'
  • yellowcard Rossi 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 14, 2018 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andrey 22' yellowcard
  • Leandro Castan 47' yellowcard
  • Yago Pikachu 49' goal
  • Werley 63' yellowcard
  • Maxi Lopez 63' yellowcard
  • Luiz Gustavo 69' yellowcard
  • Maxi Lopez 70' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Silva 38'
  • yellowcard Sassa 71'
  • redcard Federico Mancuello 72'
Brasileiro
Jun 7, 2018 1.45am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Raniel 61' goal
  • Edilson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Andrey 22'
  • yellowcard Wagner 44'
Gameweek 5
May 3, 2018 1.45am
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Henrique 56' yellowcard
  • goal Leo 10'
  • goal Thiago Neves 25'
  • goal Sassa 33'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 53'
  • goal Sassa 55'
Gameweek 2
Apr 5, 2018 1.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Romero 48' yellowcard