Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Goias

Vasco
0 - 1
Goias

FT(HT: 0-0)
Morelli (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Goias, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Vasco
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goias

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Goias in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawGoias
56.03% (0.0020000000000024 0)24.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)19.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 46.69% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)54.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)75.47% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)19.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.86% (0.012 0.01)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)42.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)78.62% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 56.02%
    Goias 19.52%
    Draw 24.45%
Vasco da GamaDrawGoias
1-0 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.52%

How you voted: Vasco vs Goias

Vasco da Gama
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Goias
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Vasco
3-2
Goias
Cano (15'), Graca (50', 90+2')
Fernandao (26', 45+7')
Nov 1, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Goias
1-1
Vasco
Shaylon (57')
Cabral (27'), Heron (34'), Villalva (45+5'), Lopes (54'), Duarte (65')
Matos (17')
Henrique (33'), Matos (45+5'), Gil (47'), Pikachu (50'), Graca (61'), Bastos (73'), Borges (90+2')
Aug 27, 2020 1.30am
Third Stage
Goias
1-2
Vasco
 Vasco win 3-2 on penalties
Moura (45'), Sanches (80')
Andrey (22'), Pikachu (36')
Mar 13, 2020 12.30am
Third Stage
Vasco
0-1
Goias

Raul (15'), Cano (24'), Andrey (75'), Ribamar (90')
Sanches (44')
Sanches (22')
Nov 18, 2019 10.30pm
Gameweek 33
Vasco
1-1
Goias
Guarin (35')
Barcelos (18'), Raul (77')
Henriquez (97' og.)
Sena (5'), Ruschel (54')