Brasileiro | Gameweek 13

Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
2 - 0
Vasco

Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Magallanes
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, June 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Vasco da Gama
64.93% ( 0.62)	21.33% ( -0.24)	13.74% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 44.15% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.85% (

0.2)

51.15% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01% (

0.18)

73% (

-0.18)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.96% (

0.27)

15.04% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.47% (

0.5)

43.53% (

-0.5)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.97% (

-0.44)

48.04% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.75% (

-0.33)

83.26% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 64.92%

Vasco da Gama 13.74%

Draw 21.33%

Botafogo	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 64.92%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.33%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 13.74%