Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Carlos Alberto 90'+5' goal

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 8.00pm
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Tiquinho

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jun 27, 2023 1.00am
Vasco 1 - 0 Cuiaba
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result

Botafogo 64.93% (+0.62)
Draw 21.33% (-0.24)
Vasco da Gama 13.74% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.15% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.85% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 51.15% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 27.01% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 73% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 12.65% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 87.35% (-0.12)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 84.96% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 15.04% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 56.47% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 43.53% (-0.50)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 51.97% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 48.04% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 16.75% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 83.26% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Botafogo 64.92%
Draw 21.33%
Vasco da Gama 13.74%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 12.96% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.19% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 6% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.88% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.84% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 64.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.33%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.74%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Talles Magno 22' goal
  • Andrey 78' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 90'+6' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 90'+8' yellowcard
Copa do Brasil
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Leandro Castan 4' yellowcard
  • Henrique 31' yellowcard
  • Fellipe Bastos 42' yellowcard
  • Andrey 77' yellowcard
  • Martin Benitez 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Forster 33'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 84'
  • yellowcard Keisuke Honda 86'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 17, 2020 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Matheus Babi 26' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 68' goal
  • Keisuke Honda 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 40'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2020 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Rafael Forster 15' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 50' goal
  • Kevin 52' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 83' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Benitez 7'
  • yellowcard Fellipe Bastos 29'
  • goal Ribamar 35'
  • goal German Cano 71'
  • goal Ygor Catatau 72'
  • goal Ygor Catatau 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 17, 2019 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Gomes Bruno 8' goal
  • Ribamar 18' goal
  • Leandro Castan 79' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo 22'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)
  • Erik 44' yellowcard
  • Diego Souza 58' goal
  • Roberto Fernandez 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rossi 3'
  • yellowcard Fellipe Bastos 35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mineiro 57'