Copa Sudamericana
Jun 30, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Marlon Freitas 19' goal
  • Marlon Freitas 19' goal
  • goal Yorman Zapata 80'
  • goal Yorman Zapata 80'

Botafogo vs Magallanes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 7, 2023 3.00am
LDU Quito 0 - 0 Botafogo

Magallanes

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 9, 2023 3.00am
Cesar Vallejo 3 - 2 Magallanes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 11.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Botafogo 70.65% (-1.72)
Draw 18.28% (+0.76)
Magallanes 11.07% (+0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.68% (+1.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.34% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 44.66% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 32.98% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 67.03% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 16.78% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 83.22% (+0.43)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 88.62% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 11.39% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 63.87% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 36.13% (+1.37)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5 51.55% (+1.48)
Under 0.5 48.45% (-1.47)
Over 1.5 16.44% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 83.56% (-1.04)

Score analysis

Botafogo 70.64%
Draw 18.28%
Magallanes 11.07%
Botafogo
2-0 @ 13.02% (-0.34)
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.49)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.41)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.09)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 5.52% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.42% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.28%
Magallanes
0-1 @ 4% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 3.15% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 1.45% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 11.07%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 7, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio El Teniente
  • Alfred Canales 16' goal
  • Simon Contreras 75' goal
  • goal Tiquinho 6'
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 58'