Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.