Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
3 - 2
Magallanes

Fuentes (3', 3'), Velez (35', 35'), Mena (80', 80')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Villanueva (42', 42'), Zapata (89' pen., 89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cesar Vallejo and Magallanes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesar Vallejo

Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-3 Botafogo
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Magallanes

Last Game: Magallanes 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Magallanes
56% ( 0.29)	22.96% ( -0.14)	21.03% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 53.41% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

0.41)

46.26% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

0.38)

68.55% (

-0.38)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66% (

0.25)

16.34% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.06% (

0.44)

45.93% (

-0.45)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

0.08)

36.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

0.08)

72.94% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 56%

Magallanes 21.03%

Draw 22.96%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Magallanes
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 56%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.03%