Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Teniente

Magallanes
1 - 1
LDU Quito

Flores (45+8', 45+8')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rodriguez (45+1', 45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Magallanes and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Magallanes

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Last Game: Magallanes 2-2 Cesar Vallejo
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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LDU Quito

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Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MagallanesDrawLDU Quito
40.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.1% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22%74.77%
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)25.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)60.97% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)30.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (0.023000000000003 0.02)66.37% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Magallanes 40.27%
    LDU Quito 33.1%
    Draw 26.63%
MagallanesDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.27%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.1%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 3am
Group Stage
LDU Quito
4-0
Magallanes
Enrique Angulo (53', 55'), Martinez (86'), Pinero (89' og.)
Piovi (20'), Quinonez (27'), Quinteros (32')

Filla (14'), Zapata (71')
Filla (39'), Canales (90+1')