Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
2 - 2
Botafogo

Leonardo (24', 81')
Lucas (63'), Lucas (70'), Alex (90+2'), Alex (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tiquinho (84'), Adryelson (87')
Adryelson (70'), Marcal (76'), Segovia (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Santos
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Patronato
Wednesday, July 19 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.18%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Botafogo
42.18% ( -0.89)	30.49% ( 0.18)	27.32% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 39.01% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.1% (

-0.24)

67.9% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.13% (

-0.16)

85.87% (

0.16)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0.64)

32.05% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-0.74)

68.52% (

0.74)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

0.48)

42.59% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05% (

0.41)

78.95% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Santos 42.18%

Botafogo 27.32%

Draw 30.49%

Santos	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.18%	0-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.13) 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.49%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 27.32%