Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Goias
57.39% ( 0.02)	24.87% ( 0.1)	17.74% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 42.77% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.28% (

-0.5)

57.72% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53% (

-0.4)

78.47% (

0.4)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.91% (

-0.19)

20.09% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.67% (

-0.31)

52.33% (

0.31)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52% (

-0.45)

46.48% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91% (

-0.35)

82.09% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Santos 57.37%

Goias 17.74%

Draw 24.87%

Santos	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.35% Total : 57.37%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.43% Total : 17.74%