Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bragantino in this match.