Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.