Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Corinthians

Santos
0 - 2
Corinthians

FT(HT: 0-4)
Alberto (19', 19'), Lucas (28' og.), Ruan (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawCorinthians
54.6% (-3.667 -3.67)26.33% (1.606 1.61)19.06% (2.057 2.06)
Both teams to score 41.16% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (-2.847 -2.85)61.02% (2.842 2.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-2.186 -2.19)81% (2.179 2.18)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-2.658 -2.66)22.57% (2.652 2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-4.114 -4.11)56.17% (4.11 4.11)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.16% (0.837 0.84)46.84% (-0.843 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.63% (0.626 0.63)82.36% (-0.631 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Santos 54.59%
    Corinthians 19.06%
    Draw 26.32%
SantosDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.73% (0.41 0.41)
2-0 @ 11.71% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.838 -0.84)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.518 -0.52)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.52 -0.52)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.346 -0.35)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 54.59%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.58 0.58)
0-0 @ 10.57% (1.073 1.07)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.984 0.98)
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.436 0.44)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.06%

How you voted: Santos vs Corinthians

Santos
76.5%
Draw
17.6%
Corinthians
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 33
Santos
0-1
Corinthians
Guedes (89')
Jul 14, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Santos
1-0
Corinthians
Leonardo (67' pen.)
Fernandez (84'), Leonardo (85')

Queiroz (26'), Melo (40'), Gustavo (84')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 14
Corinthians
0-0
Santos
Roni (3'), Adson (73'), Fagner (79')
Gabriel (23'), Fernandez (81'), Seco (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 23, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
4-0
Santos
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Corinthians
2-0
Santos
Jo (47'), Gabriel (85')
Roni (82')
> Preview