Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Sao Paulo
Jul 16, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Santos
  • Jonathan Calleri 22' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 45'+1' goal
  • David 79' goal
  • Alexandre Pato 88' goal
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 90'+3'

Sao Paulo vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 8.00pm
Bragantino 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Luciano

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 3.00pm
Santos 4 - 3 Goias
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Marcos Leonardo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result

Sao Paulo 65.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 22.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Santos 12.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 77.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 83.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 46.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 46.72%
Under 0.5 53.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 13.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 65.3%
Draw 22.15%
Santos 12.53%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 15.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 14.24%
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 65.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.15%
Santos
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.53%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Santos
Aug 21, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Lucas Braga 33' goal
  • Eduardo 43' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Felipe Jonatan 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikao 44'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Sao Paulo
May 3, 2022 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Santos
  • Jonathan Calleri 10' goal
  • Rafinha 68' yellowcard
  • Luciano 82' goal
  • C. Hembert 90' yellowcard
  • Alisson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcos Leonardo 66'
  • yellowcard Madson 84'
  • yellowcard Fabian Daniel Bustos 85'
  • yellowcard Fabian Bustos 85'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires Silva 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
Oct 7, 2021 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Santos
  • Jonathan Calleri 35' goal
  • Welington 74' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Sanchez 5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 33'
  • yellowcard Marinho 78'
  • yellowcard Danilo Boza 80'
  • yellowcard Marcos Guilherme 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Santos
Jun 20, 2021 10.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Marinho 27' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 44' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 50'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Sara 61'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 85'
  • yellowcard Martin Benitez 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Sao Paulo
Jan 10, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Santos
  • Pablo 37' yellowcard
  • Hernanes 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex 26'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 43'
  • goal Jobson 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Paulo 77'
  • yellowcard Alison 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Santos
Sep 12, 2020 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Yeferson Soteldo 25' yellowcard
  • Madson 30' goal
  • Carlos Sanchez 49' yellowcard
  • Alison 54' yellowcard
  • Luan Peres 65' yellowcard
  • Marinho 75' goal
  • goal Gabriel Sara 8'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 39'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 72'
  • yellowcard Hernanes 79'

Form Data

Palmeiras 1 - 2 Sao Paulo
Bragantino 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Palmeiras
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Fluminense
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Tigre
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Santos 4 - 3 Goias
Cuiaba 3 - 0 Santos
Santos 0 - 0 Blooming
Santos 2 - 3 Flamengo
Santos 0 - 2 Corinthians
Coritiba 0 - 0 Santos