Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Santos

Sao Paulo
4 - 1
Santos

Calleri (22' pen., 45+1'), David (79'), Pato (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leonardo (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Santos

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 4-3 Goias
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawSantos
65.31% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)22.16% (0.004999999999999 0)12.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 38.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)77.52% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (-0.012 -0.01)46.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.72%53.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)86.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 65.3%
    Santos 12.53%
    Draw 22.15%
Sao PauloDrawSantos
1-0 @ 15.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.24%
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 65.3%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 8.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.53%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Santos

Sao Paulo
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Santos
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 23
Santos
1-0
Sao Paulo
Braga (33')
Eduardo (43'), Leonardo (45+5'), Jonatan (81')

Nikao (44')
May 3, 2022 12am
Gameweek 4
Sao Paulo
2-1
Santos
Bustos (85'), Pires (90+6')
Oct 7, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
1-1
Santos
Calleri (35' pen.)
Welington (74')
Sanchez (5')
Vinicius (33'), Marinho (78'), Boza (80'), Guilherme (90+3')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 5
Santos
2-0
Sao Paulo
Marinho (27'), Pirani (44')
Jorge (45+2'), Zanocelo (90+6')

Reinaldo (50'), Sara (61'), Vinicius (85'), Benitez (90+10')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Sao Paulo
0-1
Santos

Pablo (37'), Hernanes (83')
Jobson (46')
Alex (26'), Vinicius (43'), Paulo (77'), Alison (77')
rhs 2.0


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