Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.