Brasileiro | Gameweek 13

Jul 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Fluminense

Luciano (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Cristal
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Fluminense
54.46% ( -0.02)	23.21% ( 0.01)	22.33% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

0.01)

45.78% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

0.01)

68.1% (

-0)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

-0)

16.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.4% (

-0.01)

46.61% (

0.02)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

0.03)

34.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

0.03)

71.37% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 54.45%

Fluminense 22.33%

Draw 23.21%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.33%