Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2023 at 12am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

(Sao Paulo win 3-1 on aggregate)

Piquerez (34', 34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Paulista (49', 49'), David (89', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, July 9 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Sao Paulo
50.8% ( -0.05)	24.42% ( 0)	24.77% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47% (

0.02)

48.53% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.02)

70.65% (

-0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.02)

19.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26% (

-0.02)

50.73% (

0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

0.05)

33.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

0.05)

70.66% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 50.79%

Sao Paulo 24.77%

Draw 24.42%

Palmeiras	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.79%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.77%