/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fpallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsaoplog.png)
-
Joaquin Piquerez
34'
-
Joaquin Piquerez
34'
-
Caio Paulista
49'
-
Caio Paulista
49'
-
David
89'
-
David
89'
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fabel-ferreira.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result
Palmeiras
50.8%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
24.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Sao Paulo
24.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
53.39%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
48.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
29.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
70.65%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
14.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5
80.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
19.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
49.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
50.73%
▲
(+0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
66.01%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
33.99%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
29.33%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
70.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Palmeiras
50.79%
Draw
24.42%
Sao Paulo
24.77%
Palmeiras
1-0
@
10.74%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.79%
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.79%
Draw
1-1
@
11.6%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.42%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.42%
Sao Paulo
0-1
@
7.01%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.77%
Head to Head
Copa do Brasil
-
Patrick
31'
-
Reinaldo
60'
-
Reinaldo
61'
-
Gabriel Neves
72'
-
Gabriel Neves
73'
-
Murilo Cerqueira
48'
-
Murilo Cerqueira
49'
-
Gustavo Gomez
60'
-
Gustavo Gomez
61'
-
Marcos Rocha
74'