Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Palmeiras

Athletico PR
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Bueno (67' pen.), Roque (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Endrick (22'), Menino (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Alianza Lima
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Bolivar
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
36.57% (-0.535 -0.53)28.94% (0.012 0.01)34.49% (0.525 0.52)
Both teams to score 45.01% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.64% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0)81.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)32.22% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.389 -0.39)68.72% (0.39200000000001 0.39)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.355 0.36)33.59% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.385 0.38)70.23% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 36.56%
    Palmeiras 34.49%
    Draw 28.93%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.93%
0-1 @ 11.8% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
52.9%
Draw
5.9%
Palmeiras
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 34
Athletico PR
1-3
Palmeiras
Felipe (30')
Endrick (59', 70'), Gomez (76')
Sep 7, 2022 1.30am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
2-2
Athletico PR
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Athletico PR
1-0
Palmeiras
> Preview
Jul 3, 2022 1am
Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
0-2
Athletico PR
Roque (36'), Bueno (58' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
Final 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
2-0
Athletico PR
Rafael (50'), Danilo (88')
Ferreira (64')
Ferreira (90+1')
> Preview