Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.