Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • goal Gabriel Villamil 18'
  • goal Robert Piris 23' (OG)
  • goal Diego Bejarano 25'
  • goal Patito Rodriguez 49'

Cerro Porteno vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 1.00am
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Cerro Porteno

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 3.00am
Barcelona 2 - 1 Bolivar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Cerro Porteno 54.54% (-1.79)
Draw 23.67% (+0.33)
Bolivar 21.79% (+1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.68% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 48.32% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 29.53% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 70.46% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 14.35% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 85.65% (-0.25)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5 82.4% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 17.6% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 51.82% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 48.18% (+0.89)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 63.42% (+1.69)
Under 0.5 36.58% (-1.70)
Over 1.5 26.63% (+1.67)
Under 1.5 73.37% (-1.67)

Score analysis

Cerro Porteno 54.54%
Draw 23.66%
Bolivar 21.79%
Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.38)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.49)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 54.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.21)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.66%
Bolivar
0-1 @ 6.48% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 5.66% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-95.51)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.79%