Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.