Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 3, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
0 - 4
Bolivar

FT(HT: 0-3)

Villamil (18'), Piris (23' og.), Bejarano (25'), Rodriguez (49')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Bolivar

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Bolivar
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Bolivar
54.54% ( -1.79)	23.67% ( 0.33)	21.79% ( 1.46)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

0.39)

48.32% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.53% (

0.35)

70.46% (

-0.35)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-0.51)

17.6% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

-0.89)

48.18% (

0.89)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

1.69)

36.58% (

-1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

1.66)

73.37% (

-1.66)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 54.54%

Bolivar 21.79%

Draw 23.66%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Bolivar
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.54%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.79%