Copa Libertadores
Jun 7, 2023 3.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Gabriel Villamil 5' goal
  • Gabriel Villamil 5' goal
  • Lucas Leonidas Chavez Cruz 48' goal
  • Lucas Chavez 48' goal

Bolivar vs Cerro Porteno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 1.00am
Bolivar 1 - 0 Barcelona

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
Cerro Porteno 0 - 3 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 22.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result

Bolivar 54.74% (+0.01)
Draw 22.83% (-0.01)
Cerro Porteno 22.43% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.99% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.62% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.38% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.25% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.75% (-0.02)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 84.02% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15.97% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 54.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.27% (-0.02)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.56% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.2% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bolivar 54.74%
Draw 22.82%
Cerro Porteno 22.43%
Bolivar
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.82%
Cerro Porteno
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.43%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • goal Gabriel Villamil 18'
  • goal Robert Piris 23' (OG)
  • goal Diego Bejarano 25'
  • goal Patito Rodriguez 49'