Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Corinthians

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Corinthians

Roque (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, June 22 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCorinthians
59% (0.011000000000003 0.01)25.2% (0.0019999999999989 0)15.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 38.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.74% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)61.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.81% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)81.19% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)51.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)85.44% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 58.99%
    Corinthians 15.81%
    Draw 25.18%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 16.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.99%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 15.81%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Corinthians

Athletico Paranaense
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Corinthians
28.6%
28
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 1am
Gameweek 31
Corinthians
2-1
Athletico PR
Balbuena (6'), Guedes (22' pen.)
Erick (81')
Jun 16, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Athletico PR
1-1
Corinthians
Ramos (50')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Corinthians
1-0
Athletico PR
Santos (65' pen.)
Gabriel (52'), Victor (80'), Gil (84'), Fagner (89'), Santos (90+4')

Christian (49'), Heleno (63')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Athletico PR
0-1
Corinthians

Eduardo (62')
Heleno (90+1')
Roni (55')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Corinthians
3-3
Athletico PR
Silva (3', 56'), Gabriel (18')
Gabriel (20'), Santos (61'), Vital (68')
Vinicius (14'), Canesin (35'), Vitinho (73')