Brasileiro | Gameweek 14

Jul 9, 2023 at 1am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 1
Flamengo

Dudu (24', 24')

FT(HT: 2-0)

De Arrascaeta (81', 81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Flamengo win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Flamengo
62.18% ( -0.84)	20.57% ( 0.46)	17.25% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 54.66% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.67% (

-1.45)

41.33% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28% (

-1.49)

63.72% (

1.5)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

-0.68)

12.75% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61% (

-1.42)

39% (

1.43)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64% (

-0.43)

37.36% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86% (

-0.43)

74.14% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 62.18%

Flamengo 17.25%

Draw 20.57%

Palmeiras	Draw	Flamengo
2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 62.18%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.25%