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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fflalog.png "Flamengo")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fparlog.png "Athletico Paranaense")
Flamengo2 - 1Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
66.79% ( -0.08) | 19.97% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( 0) | 46.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0) | 68.96% ( -0) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( -0.02) | 13.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( -0.04) | 39.64% ( 0.04) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.09) | 46.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.22% ( 0.07) | 81.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 2-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.98% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.23% |
How you voted: Flamengo vs Athletico PR
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png "Footer logo for GAMSTOP"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}