Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Botafogo logo

Gremio
0 - 2
Botafogo

FT(HT: 0-0)
Eduardo (74'), Alberto (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Gremio
Wednesday, July 5 at 1am in Copa do Brasil

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawBotafogo
56.18% (-0.119 -0.12)25.42% (0.111 0.11)18.4% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.41% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2% (-0.36 -0.36)58.8% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.281 -0.28)79.32% (0.283 0.28)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)21% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (-0.306 -0.31)53.77% (0.306 0.31)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.68% (-0.199 -0.2)46.32% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.03% (-0.156 -0.16)81.97% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 56.18%
    Botafogo 18.4%
    Draw 25.42%
GremioDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 15.18% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.4%

How you voted: Gremio vs Botafogo

Gremio
43.8%
Draw
25.0%
Botafogo
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 35
Botafogo
2-5
Gremio
Navarro (56'), Babi (82')
Alisson (7'), Pyerre (17'), Churin (54' pen.), Henrique (74', 78')
Oct 14, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 16
Gremio
3-1
Botafogo
Souza (34'), Pepe (48', 66')
Henrique (31'), Souza (54'), Rodrigues (81')
Souza (53')
Babi (42')
Santos (30'), Babi (80')
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
3-0
Botafogo
Souza (12'), Thaciano (71'), Everton (80')
Matheus (6'), Geromel (37'), Kannemann (91')

Santos (7'), Yuri (36')
Jun 12, 2019 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Botafogo
0-1
Gremio

Yuri (83')
Pyerre (81')
Thaciano (61'), Andre (87')
Sep 1, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 22
Gremio
4-0
Botafogo
Jael (12' pen., 45'), Alisson (61'), Andre (76' pen.)
Santos (19'), Cortez (67')

Carli (10'), Marcelo (71'), Pimpao (84')
rhs 2.0


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