Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.