Copa do Brasil
Bahia
Jul 5, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Gremio
  • Everaldo Stum 47' goal
  • Everaldo Stum 47' goal
  • Everaldo Stum 47' goal
  • goal Cuiabano 90'+5'
  • goal Cuiabano 90'+5'
  • goal Cuiabano 90'+5'

Bahia vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions

Gremio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Bahia 39.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 26.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Gremio 33.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 52.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.32% ▼ (-0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 73.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.05% ▼ (-0.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 70.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bahia 39.86%
Draw 26.56%
Gremio 33.56%
Bahia
1-0 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.56%
Gremio
0-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 33.56%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Bahia
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Gremio
  • Kayky 20' goal
  • goal Franco Cristaldo 9'
  • goal Gustavo Martins 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Bahia
Nov 26, 2021 10.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Gremio
  • Matheus Bahia 13' goal
  • Rai Nascimento 18' goal
  • Rodrigoinho 32' yellowcard
  • Nino Paraiba 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mugni 70' yellowcard
  • Danielzinho 85' goal
  • yellowcard Vanderson 36'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cortez 47'
  • goal Thiago 62'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Gremio
Aug 21, 2021 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bahia
  • Miguel Borja 50' goal
  • Lucas Silva 87' yellowcard
  • Diego Souza 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Gilberto 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Gremio
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Bahia
  • Vanderson 16' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 51' yellowcard
  • Diego Souza 54' goal
  • Vanderlei 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Andrade 44'
  • goal Anderson Martins 47'
  • yellowcard Ramon 51'
  • yellowcard Rossi 68'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Bahia
Sep 10, 2020 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Gremio
  • Nino Paraiba 26' yellowcard
  • Gregore 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Darlan Mendes 17'
  • goal Alisson 25'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 49'
  • goal Darlan Mendes 54'
  • redcard Matheus Henrique 64'
  • yellowcard 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Gremio
Oct 16, 2019 11.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul)
Bahia
  • Henrique Matheus 15' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 20' yellowcard
  • Leo Moura 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Guerra 25'
  • yellowcard Gregore 65'
  • goal Artur 91'

Form Data

Bahia 1 - 2 Gremio
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras
Bahia 2 - 2 Cruzeiro
Fortaleza 0 - 0 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 1 Santos
Bahia 1 - 2 Gremio
Gremio 5 - 1 Coritiba
Gremio 3 - 1 America Mineiro
Flamengo 3 - 0 Gremio
Gremio 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Gremio