Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Gremio
39.87% ( 0.02)	26.56% ( -0.01)	33.56% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

0.02)

52.88% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

0.02)

74.49% (

-0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

0.02)

26.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

0.02)

61.05% (

-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

29.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

65.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bahia 39.86%

Gremio 33.56%

Draw 26.56%

Bahia	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.86%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.56%