Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Gremio

Bahia
1 - 2
Gremio

Kayky (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cristaldo (9'), Martins (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 5-1 Coritiba
Sunday, June 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawGremio
42.74% (-0.405 -0.41)26.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)30.49% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 50.29% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.086000000000006 0.09)54.55% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.071999999999999 0.07)75.9% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.166 -0.17)25.28% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.231 -0.23)60.04% (0.235 0.23)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.32900000000001 0.33)32.7% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (0.366 0.37)69.25% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 42.73%
    Gremio 30.49%
    Draw 26.77%
BahiaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.49%

How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia
30.9%
Draw
23.6%
Gremio
45.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Gremio
2-0
Bahia
Borja (50'), Souza (90+5')
Silva (87')

Gilberto (67')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
2-1
Bahia
Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')
Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')
Sep 10, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Bahia
0-2
Gremio

Paraiba (26')
Gregore (78')
Alisson (25'), Mendes (54')
Mendes (17'), Henrique (49'), (70')
Henrique (64')
Oct 16, 2019 11.15pm
Gameweek 26
Gremio
0-1
Bahia

Matheus (15'), Kannemann (20'), Moura (89')
Artur (91' pen.)
Guerra (25'), Gregore (65')
rhs 2.0


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