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Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Gremio

Bahia
1 - 2
Gremio

Kayky (20')
Acevedo (37'), Thaciano (69'), Cicinho (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cristaldo (9'), Martins (90+5')
Pedro (32'), Portaluppi (44+44'), Kannemann (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-1 Gremio

Bahia have drawn two of their last three home league games, and we think that they will settle for a point when they face a Gremio side who have lost just one of their previous seven Brasileiro matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawGremio
42.74% (-0.405 -0.41) 26.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 30.49% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 50.29% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.086000000000006 0.09)54.55% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.071999999999999 0.07)75.9% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.166 -0.17)25.28% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.231 -0.23)60.04% (0.235 0.23)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.32900000000001 0.33)32.7% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (0.366 0.37)69.25% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 42.73%
    Gremio 30.49%
    Draw 26.77%
BahiaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.49%

How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia
30.9%
Draw
23.6%
Gremio
45.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Gremio
2-0
Bahia
Borja (50'), Souza (90+5')
Silva (87')

Gilberto (67')
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
2-1
Bahia
Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')
Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')
Sep 10, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Bahia
0-2
Gremio

Paraiba (26')
Gregore (78')
Alisson (25'), Mendes (54')
Mendes (17'), Henrique (49'), (70')
Henrique (64')
Oct 16, 2019 11.15pm
Gameweek 26
Gremio
0-1
Bahia

Matheus (15'), Kannemann (20'), Moura (89')
Artur (91' pen.)
Guerra (25'), Gregore (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo22004226
2InternacionalInternacional22003126
3JuventudeJuventude21103124
4Cruzeiro21104314
5BragantinoBragantino21104314
6FortalezaFortaleza21103214
7Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR21014223
8Gremio21013213
9Vasco da GamaVasco21013303
10Bahia21013303
11PalmeirasPalmeiras21011103
12CriciumaCriciuma20202202
13Atletico Mineiro20201102
14Fluminense201134-11
15Corinthians201102-21
16Botafogo100123-10
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO100112-10
18Vitoria100101-10
19Sao Paulo200224-20
20Cuiaba100104-40


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