/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
-
Kayky
20'
-
Franco Cristaldo
9'
-
Gustavo Martins
90'+5'
Bahia vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fbahia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result
Bahia
42.74%
▼
(-0.41)
Draw
26.77%
▲
(+0.02)
Gremio
30.49%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
50.29%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.45%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
54.55%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
24.1%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
75.9%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
10.79%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
89.21%
▼
(-0.05)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
74.73%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
25.28%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
39.96%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
60.04%
▲
(+0.24)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
67.31%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
32.7%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
30.75%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
69.25%
▼
(-0.37)
Score analysis
Bahia
42.73%
Draw
26.77%
Gremio
30.49%
Bahia
1-0
@
11.36%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.73%
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.73%
Draw
1-1
@
12.7%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.77%
0-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.77%
Gremio
0-1
@
9.24%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.49%
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.49%
